Cover:One Size Does Not Fit All
(cont...)
"Oops, We Have Changed
Our Thinking"
Target-date funds have clear up sides, but they have
issues. For one, simplicity has a down side, as these funds
lump participants into large groups based on nothing more
specific than a projected Âretirement date. "[The approach]
presumes that everybody is the same, that everybody who
plans to retire in 2020 is going to have the same risk
profile," Larsen says. "You could have a 55-year-old who
has a lot of outside assets that allow him to be more
aggressive with the 401(k) plan, but what about the
55-year-old whose only asset to fund his retirement is the
401(k)? With risk-based funds, participants can try to
personalize their specific circumstances and adjust their
risk profile accordingly."
If people need to get lumped into groups based on one
variable, some question using the projected retirement
date. "You cannot pick a single date for everybody but, if
you have to, you would ideally use a person's date of
death," Lee says. "Retirement is not a worthwhile date. The
bigger question is, how long are you going to have to draw
down that money?" Most people can reasonably estimate their
life expectancy, he says, and he believes that most
participants would be willing to do that.
There is also a growing belief that lifestyle funds need
to invest more aggressively for participants to make enough
money for retirement. AllianceBernstein has been a pioneer
in aggressive lifestyle fund asset allocations, and has
gotten a lot of attention for its belief that participants
should remain heavily invested in equities at and beyond
retirement. Its lifestyle funds also favor more
international equity and REIT exposure, and include no cash
holdings, instead using short-duration bonds as a
higher-yielding alternative with the same risk-control
benefits as straight cash vehicles.
"There certainly was surprise at our initial
allocations," Davies says. "If anything, we have helped
contribute to the idea that, if you retire at age 65, you
still have a 30-year investment time frame ahead of you. At
age 65, yes, there is traditional market risk, but the
biggest issue facing people at age 65 is running out of
money."
T. Rowe Price felt similarly when it rolled out its
target-date funds, deciding that "the model that would work
best was more aggressive than most of those in the
marketplace," says John Doyle, vice president, director of
marketing and communications. "Our view has been that most
of the target-maturity funds out there are too
conservative, especially at retirement." Others seem to be
coming around, he says, adding, "In the past six months, we
have seen both Fidelity and Vanguard increase their
allocation to equities."
"The market certainly is moving in our direction,"
Davies says. "Though, for somebody who has a very large,
established base to say, 'Ooops, we have changed our
thinking' is hard. We had a luxury, as the new kids on the
block, to say, 'We have taken a totally fresh
approach.'"
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