IMHO: Conspiracy Theories
I spent some of my precious three-day weekend
perusing Teresa Ghilarducci's When I'm Sixty-Four, an
intriguing title for a book about pensions-or, as the
subtitle suggests, "The Plot against Pensions and the Plan to
Save Them."
IMHO: Conspiracy Theories
To her credit, Ghilarducci, an economics professor at
Notre Dame, actually offers a serious proposal to provide a
more secure retirement income stream for Americans,
certainly for lower-income individuals.
It is unfortunate, IMHO, that she devotes but a single
chapter of the 300-page book to exploring the "plan to
save them," leaving the bulk to "the plot."
A "plot" that includes the complicity and
outright scheming of employers, advisers, providers, and
even the federal government (well, at least the Bush
Administration).
The plan?
Well, she gets there by imposing a mandatory 5% FICA-like
withholding (yes, in addition to the current one - this one
also split between employer and employee) into a
"Guaranteed Retirement Account (GRA)," imposing mandatory
annuitization of those benefits (no lump sums, and no
ability to pass that "account" along to heirs, though she
would allow you to accept a reduced benefit for the ability
to include a beneficiary in an annuity stream), doing away
with the current tax benefits associated with 401(k)s, and
replacing that with a $600 refundable tax credit that would
be indexed for inflation.
The "Plot"
As for the "plot," in Ghilarducci's view, employers
offer defined contribution plans instead of traditional
pension plans not because they are preferred by workers (in
fact, she rather seems to doubt that) or because they are
less impactful to the balance sheet (particularly these
days), but simply because they are less expensive (there
have, of course, been studies that refute that notion).
She decries the 401(k)'s disproportionate benefit to
upper-income workers - which apparently results from the
reality that they are more likely to actually participate
in such programs than are lower-income workers.
The Pension Protection Act's tightened reporting
strictures on pensions were, in Ghilarducci's view, at best
an overreaction to a non-existent funding crisis and, at
worst, an overt move by politicians who so desperately
wanted to promote an individual account system over defined
benefits that they effectively legislated it out of
existence.
Oh - and if you've been worried about Social Security
funding, you can breath a bit easier.
Apparently, the actuaries are notoriously pessimistic,
according to Ghilarducci.
In Ghilarucci's world view, the current travails of the
nation's retirement system are not due to the lack of a
coherent national policy, the aberration of a voluntary
savings system inadvertently converted into THE retirement
savings device, or the challenges that a pay-as-you-go
Social Security design naturally experiences as it tries to
pay for more people going than paying.
Instead, it all seems to be the result of some form of
Machiavellian plot - and one that, IMHO, is a perspective
of someone who has perhaps not spent much time with plan
sponsors who agonize over the very issues she seems to
think they proactively set in motion.