IMHO: Pay "Back"?
Sep 22, 2008
(PLANSPONSOR.com) --
It was an interesting week, to say the least—all the
more so since I spent it surrounded by financial
advisers.
The downs and—eventually—ups of the market, the
absorption of storied brands, and the likely disappearance
of others were, as you might imagine, fodder for a lot of
cocktail banter and the occasional moment of financial
gallows humor.
But, after what is surely one of the most momentous
weeks in memory, the question for most is—now what?
IMHO, most investors realize that stock markets will go
up and down—even, as was the case this week, when those
movements are deep and largely unanticipated.
Those who rode out the tumult are doubtless relieved that
they did (having the wisdom to "stay the course"
is a time-honored rationalization for inertia).
As one adviser told me, the only person that gets hurt on a
rollercoaster is the one who tries to get off in the middle
of the ride.
On the other hand, when malfeasance and/or malevolence
seem to underlie those dramatic swings—and there are
rumored culprits aplenty for this current mess—we should
not be surprised that their confidence in our free market
system of investment, their trust in those "stay the
course" assurances, is shaken (see
SURVEY SAYS: Are the
Markets Moving Your Participants?
).
It's not just that loans were made to people who
couldn't afford them—by people who shouldn't have made
them in the first place.
Nor that those loans' increasingly generous terms were
encouraged by politicians pandering to constituents and
"constituencies" and—let's face it—driven by the greed of
both lenders and borrowers willing to believe that there
really was a free lunch.
Nor was it a matter that that "free" lunch fed on itself,
fueling prices that no one ever thought were sustainable
over the long term—but that just about everyone thought
could go on for just a bit longer—though that, of course,
provided the impetus for even more bad loans that wound up
being "packaged" in bundles that purported to provide
diversity, even as they served to obscure just how tainted
the underlying bundle had become (and just as surely, in
some cases, served to rationalize a suspension of prudent
evaluation).
That those chickens eventually came home to roost—and
with a vengeance exacerbated by short-selling "vultures"
(doubtless cousins of the speculators that have driven
gasoline prices to record highs with little or no market
justification)—should have surprised no one, for we have
seen this cycle repeated time and again.
What may be different this time—at least in terms of its
visibility—is the actions and "leadership" of those who
will, despite their complicity in the debacle, walk away
with more money than most Americans will see in their
entire lives.
That, and the pervasive sense that "we" are paying for
those exorbitant exit packages—with our retirement savings.
IMHO, my love for our free markets notwithstanding, it's
time some of "them" paid for what they've done to the rest
of us.
Nevin E. Adams