One key indicator is that the 2000 peak in high yield credit spreads “may indicate a prolonged junk bond fund recovery” in 2001, the company said in a study released Friday.
“Spreads between high yield bonds and Treasuries widened to a high of 873 basis points at the end of December,” said Joel Friedman, director of Standard & Poor’s Fund Services. “If behavior following similar peaks from the 1990s is any indication, high yield bond funds could have an extended bounce back in 2001.”
Friedman noted that the December-end level was the highest since the 1990-1991 recession.
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