S&P Predicts Positive Capital Expenditure Numbers for 2004

August 24, 2004 (PLANSPONSOR.com) - Standard & Poor's is predicting that for the first time in two years, capital expenditures for the S&P 500 are expected to be positive, with a change of 5.53% over last year's numbers anticipated.

The first quarter of 2004 saw the first quarter over quarter increase in capital expenditures in the S&P 500 since the final quarter of 2001, with a 5.36% increase seen over the same time in 2003. Historically, capital expenditures have been skewed towards later quarters.   Thirty-two percent of expenditures are usually made in the first six months of the year, while the third quarter usually accounts for 29% and the fourth quarter 39%.

“Given a fourth quarter boost from the demise of the accelerated depreciation schedule this year, 2004 capital expenditures for the S&P 500 should show a 5.53% improvement, compared to the -8.95% for 2003 and -15.16% registered for 2002,” said Howard Silverblatt, Equity Market Analyst at Standard & Poor’s, in a news release.   “While capital expenditures are expected to increase for 2004, they are still 3.92% off their 2002 and 18.49% off their 2001 levels.”

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Not all the news is good news though, as capital expenditures for the Utilities and Financial sectors continued to lag. Telecommunication and Industrial capital expenditures, however, saw a dramatic increase.

– Kip McDaniel

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